Table of models

Global statistics

CRPS

MAE

RMSE

Country-level predictions

Model comparison (median)

Model 28: Median and CI

State-level predictions

Season 2020

Model comparison

Model 28: Median and CI

Season 2021

Model comparison

Model 28: Median and CI

Season 2022

Model comparison

Model 28: Median and CI

Season 2023

Model comparison

Model 28: Median and CI

Season 2024

Model comparison

Model 28: Median and CI

Added value of climate data

Candidate model: mod28. Baseline model: mod1. Blue colours indicate that the candidate model is superior to the baseline model.